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应用Markov模型对甘精胰岛素和利拉鲁肽不良事件的药物经济学评价
Pharmacoeconomic Evaluation of Adverse Events of Insulin Glargine and Liraglutide Using Markov Model
  
DOI:
中文关键词:  糖尿病  甘精胰岛素  利拉鲁肽  Markov模型  药物经济学评价
英文关键词:Diabetes  Insulin glargine  Liraglutide  Markov model  Pharmacoeconomics evaluation
基金项目:
作者单位
马利1 李青2 冷光2 1.山西医科大学 太原 0300012.山西医科大学第一医院 
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中文摘要:
      摘 要 目的:针对甘精胰岛素(Glar)和利拉鲁肽(Lira)的主要不良事件进行长期经济学评价,为2型糖尿病患者药物选择提供参考依据,以期在可承受的经济水平内提高糖尿病患者的生命质量。方法:根据研究药物的主要不良事件建立Markov模型,收集状态间的转移概率、各状态成本及效用值等数据,借助TreeAge Pro 2011软件对该模型进行回乘分析、半循环矫正及敏感性分析,并计算增量成本效果比(ICER)。结果:Glar、Lira 1.2mg及Lira 1.8 mg治疗20年的人均成本分别为70 948.70,93 939.31,138 108.92元,分别获得5.14,6.84,7.16个质量调整生命年(QALYs)。与Glar相比,Lira 1.2mg及Lira 1.8mg的增量成本效果比(ICER)分别为13 523.89,33 247.63。结论:与Glar相比,Lira两种干预措施均具有成本 效果优势,且Lira 1.2mg的经济性更好。
英文摘要:
      ABSTRACT Objective: To conduct long term economic evaluation for the major adverse events of insulin glargine and liraglutide, to provide reference for drug selection in patients with type 2 diabetes, so as to improve the quality of life of patients with diabetes within a sustainable economic level. Methods:The Markov model was established according to the major adverse events of the study drug, and transfer probability between states, state costs and utility values were collected. The model was analyzed by the TreeAge Pro 2011 software for roll back analysis, half cycle correction and sensitivity analysis, and calculate Incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER). Results:The average costs of insulin glargine, liraglutide 1.2 mg and liraglutide 1.8 mg for 20 years were 70 948.70, 93 939.31 and 138 108.92 yuan, respectively, and 5.14, 6.84 and 7.16 quality adjusted life years (QALYs) were obtained. Compared with insulin glargine, the incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) of liraglutide 1.2 mg and liraglutide 1.8 mg was 13 523.89 and 33 247.63, respectively. Conclusion:Compared with insulin glargine, both liraglutide interventions have a cost effective advantage, and liraglutide 1.2 mg is more economical.
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